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As the fighting continues, several scenarios are worth considering. Most likely is that Russia will conquer all of Ukraine and then occupy it or annex key parts while installing a puppet government for the remainder of the country.

Russia’s War on Ukraine: First Lessons and Outlook

By: EBR | Thursday, March 3, 2022

On 24 February 2022, war returned to Europe. The outcome of Russia’s criminal attack on Ukraine is still unknown. But it is not too early to draw first lessons and to start considering the shape of things to come

Sanctions are applied to impact the relationship between one state and another.

What are economic sanctions, and are they effective?

By: EBR | Thursday, March 3, 2022

A key feature of the international community’s response to Russia’s aggression against Ukraine has been the adoption of sanctions

Europe must do much more to support civil society, an independent civil service, and judiciary aimed at weakening corruption, strengthening state institutions, and increasing their security.

Russia’s War Against Ukraine Ends Europe’s Self-Deception

By: EBR | Wednesday, March 2, 2022

When Strategic Europe was founded a decade ago, the very title of the blog was designed to raise questions about why the EU could not—but should—do strategy

Even if Russia were to still “win” the war, it will lose the peace. Regime change in Russia is not on the official agenda of the Western Alliance, but it seems a likely result.

The World and Russia After Putin

By: EBR | Wednesday, March 2, 2022

Until quite recently, it was widely assumed that the overwhelming military power of Putin’s gang of thugs that invaded Ukraine would quickly and brutally overthrow the democratic government of the country

“Taiwan has faced military threats and intimidation from China for a long time. Therefore, we empathize with Ukraine’s situation, and we also support the efforts of all parties to maintain regional security,” her office cited her as saying at the meeting.

China says Taiwan is ‘not Ukraine’ as island raises alert level

By: EBR | Tuesday, March 1, 2022

Taiwan is “not Ukraine” and has always been an inalienable part of China, China’s foreign ministry said on Wednesday, as Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen called for the island to beef up vigilance on military activities in response to the crisis

“The view Russia will be unaffected is wrong. The negative effects may not be felt upfront, but sanctions will hobble Russia’s potential in the longer run.”

Russia’s economic defences likely to crumble over time under sanctions onslaught

By: EBR | Friday, February 25, 2022

Russia has spent the past seven years building up formidable financial defences, yet in the long run, its economy is unlikely to withstand the onslaught of coordinated sanctions from the West

"Omicron is the latest reminder that a durable and inclusive recovery is impossible while the pandemic continues".

IMF chief: 3 policy priorities for a robust economic recovery

By: EBR | Wednesday, February 23, 2022

"The good news is that the global economic recovery continues, but its pace has moderated amid high uncertainty and rising risks"

Net zero requires supporting SMEs and transitioning entire supply chains.

7 steps for delivering net zero supply chains

By: EBR | Friday, February 18, 2022

The challenge is too big for governments to tackle alone and, with global supply chains accounting for as much as 80% of total carbon emissions, there’s a real need and expectation for businesses to get involved

While the focus has been on the likelihood of a large-scale invasion into Ukraine, other developments in and around Russia have not attracted as much international attention as they should.

Reading the Political Signs From Moscow

By: EBR | Friday, February 18, 2022

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s visit to Moscow has nurtured hopes that Russia might ultimately choose diplomacy over war with Ukraine

Germany alone cannot influence what happens in Eastern Europe or Russia. But because of its position in the EU and relationship with Russia, it has the economic strength and should have the political compass to take the lead.

Germany’s Russia Complex Enables a Contested Eastern Europe

By: EBR | Wednesday, February 16, 2022

At least Olaf Scholz went to Kyiv first, before traveling to Moscow on February 15

While the U.S. leads in semiconductor R&D and design, the global share of U.S. chip-making capacity has fallen from 37 percent in 1990 to just 12 percent today — given the central role that semiconductors play in everything from high-end computers to autonomous cars, investment in critical industries like this cannot be overlooked.

Balancing the manufacturing ecosystem in a globalized world

By: EBR | Tuesday, February 15, 2022

Two years of pandemic-induced disruptions have laid bare the risks inherent to low-cost globalized supply chains. Factory shutdowns and logistical bottlenecks oceans away have disrupted access to essential goods everywhere — and continue to do so

The challenge at the WTO allows 60 days for the parties to confer in order to reach a settlement. If none is reached, the EU may choose to launch a formal dispute that would set up a WTO panel to study its claims against China.

Taiwan joins WTO case against China over Lithuania

By: EBR | Tuesday, February 15, 2022

Taiwan has joined the United States and Australia in backing a European Union trade case against China at the World Trade Organization over Beijing’s alleged trade curbs on Lithuania, its foreign ministry said on Tuesday

"Most European members are still far from meeting their 2% of GDP defence spending commitment".

Time to hit NATO’s reset button

By: EBR | Tuesday, February 15, 2022

The coming months offer NATO a much-needed chance to hit the reset button and decide its future direction. The alliance’s structures and strategic priorities should have been re-assessed years ago, but better late than never

China, has two main goals on the crisis between Russia and Ukraine. The first is to gauge the U.S. reaction to a possible crisis between Beijing and Taiwan. The second is to prevent NATO as such from meddling in the Indo-Pacific.

Why China Weighs in on Ukraine

By: EBR | Monday, February 14, 2022

When Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping were cuddling up to each other during the Olympics, they affirmed their joint opposition to NATO’s reach

Inflation is likely to remain elevated. Price gains this year will average 3.9 percent in advanced economies and 5.9 percent in emerging market and developing economies, before subsiding next year, according to our January World Economic Outlook update.

"Under pressure": This is why global inflation is incredibly high

By: EBR | Friday, February 4, 2022

Surging energy and food costs have boosted inflation

The Russian regime is weaponizing history for political goals. Yet it does not have the monopoly on interpreting the past: grassroots’ demands for alternative memory offer hope for the future.

The Competition for Memory in Putin’s Russia

By: EBR | Friday, February 4, 2022

The Kremlin’s saber-rattling over Ukraine has stolen the spotlight and the West’s attention from what is happening in Russia

‘If the Taiwanese authorities, emboldened by the United States, keep going down the road for independence, it most likely will involve China and the United States in a military conflict’

China warns US on war over Taiwan

By: N. Peter Kramer | Tuesday, February 1, 2022

More troubles for President Biden

"Immigration is usually thought of in national terms, but in so many ways it is a European challenge".

Strict migration limits condemn the EU’s youth to future poverty

By: EBR | Tuesday, February 1, 2022

How can public opinion be opened to more enlightened immigration policies? Few people in the EU think immigration is key to a brighter future, yet by mid-century four in ten Europeans will be over-65