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Much of the world’s electronics - from phones to electric cars - are powered by computer chips made in Taiwan and it is widely agreed that any conflict between the two sides would devastate global semiconductor supply chains, with severe economic consequences globally.

A Chinese invasion of Taiwan would “trigger a global catastrophe”

A Chinese invasion of Taiwan would “trigger a global catastrophe”, according to Taiwan’s ambassador to the EU and Belgium.

In principle, the EU is better prepared than during the euro crisis. There was criticism afterwards that too long had been waited to intervene. Now the ECB is monitoring the situation with eagle eyes, but it is detrimental if the economic situation of the member states diverge too sharply.

Is a new euro crisis looming?

In his weekly column N. Peter Kramer writes the interest rate differential between French, Belgian and Italian bonds and German is widening rapidly. The markets are targeting the eurozone countries with the highest debt. Is a new euro crisis looming?

In previous rounds of EU enlargement, issues related to voting procedures were resolved before new members were brought in. Leading up to the 2004 enlargement, discussions centered on Poland’s role as the largest of the incoming countries. When Poland joined, it was allotted twenty-seven votes in the council, roughly equivalent to Spain’s weight, despite the latter’s population being about 60 percent larger.

The Uncomfortable Truth About EU Enlargement

Before the next wave of EU enlargement takes place, the union needs to grapple with thorny questions of how power is distributed among its members.

When Andy Burnham, now Britain’s prime minister, arrived in the Commons in 2001, he signed House of Commons motions about the marbles with other MPs.

After the Bayeux Tapestry Why Not the Parthenon Marbles?

Britain needs friends in Europe. Finally returning the Parthenon Marbles to Athens would be a good start toward gaining one.

Brussels has been careful to point out that market access comes with strings attached. The growth plan links financial transfers to the rule of law, whereas the new scheme goes a couple of steps further by conditioning accession to the single market as a whole to judicial reform, anti-corruption, government accountability, and the like—on top of regulatory alignment.

How the EU’s Single Market Could Unlock Enlargement

Much has been said of the changes Brussels is trying to make to the EU enlargement process. Here’s why gradual integration might—or might not—be the answer.

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With their proposals, Merz and Macron aim to prevent individual Member States from blocking a swift European response when major powers such as China or the United States exert economic pressure. According to the two heads of government, the existing European trade instruments are too slow, too complex and too dependent on decision-making by the Member States.

Analyses

German Chancellor Merz and French President Macron want an economic ‘kill switch’ against China and the US

Wednesday, October 7, 2026

In a letter to EU Commissioner Ursula von der Leyen, Germany and France are calling for the ability to ‘completely and immediately’ exclude unfair trading partners from the European market. The logic behind this is reminiscent of the Cold War.

more on Analyses

Le Pen’s pole position in the presidential race is not mainly driven by her positions on the war in Ukraine. But, given the specificity of the questions in the Harris poll, they shouldn’t be underestimated either.

Analyses

How Le Pen Benefits from the Stalemate in Ukraine

Tuesday, September 29, 2026

The domestic impacts of how long it is taking to end the war in Ukraine have pushed the French electorate to the political extremes and compromised the country’s diplomatic capacity.

more on Analyses

Danuta Hubner, a former Polish MEP and European Commissioner

Europe

Senior political figures call for speeding up of EU/UK re-set

Tuesday, September 29, 2026

A former European Union commissioner has called for a re-set of EU/UK relations to be stepped up. Danuta Hubner, also a former Polish MEP, said Brexit “is not working.”

more on Europe

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The proposition for the coming decade is more ambitious and more defensible. Build in Romania because it lets you manufacture inside the European Union and sell into the Single Market without tariff risk. Build here because it connects Central Europe to the Black Sea. Build here because Europe’s industrial and defence renewal is being written on its eastern flank. And build here because, sooner or later, Ukraine’s reconstruction will become one of the largest economic projects on the continent, and Romania is next door.

Europe

The Asian Century’s Next EU Factory

Sunday, September 27, 2026

Western capital built Romania’s first manufacturing boom. Asian capital could build the second

The lesson from Stockholm to New York is increasingly clear. Progressive parties are discovering that voters are less interested in symbolic cultural battles than in whether they can afford a home, access a doctor, pay their energy bills or build a decent future for their children.

Analyses

The End of Woke? Why Progressives Are Returning to Bread-and-Butter Politics

Wednesday, September 23, 2026

As living standards stagnate and the populist right advances, progressive parties across the US and Europe are putting wages, housing, healthcare and economic security back at the heart of politics.

For Europeans, the conclusion must be that a new path to supporting Ukraine’s economic resilience, now under heavy strain, lies in resetting Europe’s relations with African and Middle Eastern countries—the same countries that both face the worst global food insecurity and can make the case to Putin that he must agree to a truce.

Analyses

A Black Sea Truce Is About Global Food Security, Too

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

A summer of escalation in the Black Sea has hurt Ukraine economically and is exacerbating world food security. A truce is needed—as is a broader reframing of Europe’s Ukraine strategy.

In a recent interview, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan renewed objections centered on what Ankara describes as the “militarization” of eastern Aegean islands and on the resumption of surveys for the Greece-Cyprus electricity interconnection project.

Europe

Clouds gather over the Aegean

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

Beyond the exchange of statements, signs point to further strain in Greek-Turkish relations.

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Mr Merz is facing pressure to resign over his failure to reform Germany’s ailing economy and hold back the rise of AfD.

Europe

Merz vows to fight on despite election ‘disaster’

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

German leader’s party on course for worst ever result, with AfD having surged in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and hard-Left forecast to win Berlin

more on Europe

Despite historical challenges, hotlines provide a useful model for crisis communication. But any new channel will need to address the shortcomings that have held previous U.S.–China crisis communication back and adapt to the demands posed by frontier AI.

World

The U.S. and China Need an AI Hotline. Here’s How to Build It.

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

It should address the shortcomings of previous crisis communication efforts and adapt to the demands of frontier AI.

more on World

he US continues to blame higher oil prices on the Iranian attacks, ignoring the obvious reality that before the war there was uninterrupted freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. In the meantime, and to avoid the Strait of Hormuz becoming a stranglehold on their oil exports, Saudi Arabia and the UAE have been working on alternatives such as the building of new oil terminal ports downstream and new pipelines across land to the Gulf of Aden and the Suez Canal.

Analyses

The US war against Iran: six months in and nothing to justify going to war thus far

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

An American historian was once asked to give a succinct judgement on the result of the Second World War. “Well”, he said, “it defeated the Nazis in Germany, the Fascists in Italy and the militarists in Japan – and never was the cause of justice more finely served”. If only it were that simple and straightforward.

more on Analyses

Just as importantly, BRICS has expanded beyond its original membership through partner countries and the BRICS Plus format, allowing dozens of emerging economies to engage with a platform that increasingly claims to speak for developing nations. The real story, however, was the New Delhi Declaration itself.

Analyses

Beyond the Brussels Bubble: BRICS’ Expanding Power Cannot Be Ignored

Wednesday, September 16, 2026

As media attention focuses on von der Leyen’s SOTEU, the BRICS summit in New Delhi reveals how emerging powers are building an alternative centre of global influence.

more on Analyses

"Restoring confidence in the UN must begin with treating every member of the international community in a fair and just way. Transformation cannot be complete while a constructive and trustworthy member remains unjustly excluded."

Interviews

Restoring trust: Taiwan’s rightful place in the free world

Tuesday, September 15, 2026

The rules-based international order is under growing strain as authoritarian states seek to weaken its safeguards and reshape international rule to serve their own interests.

more on Interviews

EU Actually

Is a new euro crisis looming?

N. Peter KramerBy: N. Peter Kramer

In his weekly column N. Peter Kramer writes the interest rate differential between French, Belgian and Italian bonds and German is widening rapidly. The markets are targeting the eurozone countries with the highest debt. Is a new euro crisis looming?

Europe

How the EU’s Single Market Could Unlock Enlargement

How the EU’s Single Market Could Unlock Enlargement

Much has been said of the changes Brussels is trying to make to the EU enlargement process. Here’s why gradual integration might—or might not—be the answer.

Business

Businesscraft: Japan’s Quiet Discipline for a Fractured World

Businesscraft: Japan’s Quiet Discipline for a Fractured World

For almost thirty years after the end of the Cold War, geopolitics stayed away from the corporate boardroom. Geopolitical considerations belonged to the foreign ministry or to a dedicated risk committee back at headquarters, and rarely crossed a CEO’s desk.

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